Improving Productivity

At a recent ABARES conference in Canberra it was noted that the rate of productivity growth in Australian agriculture had been declining.  This would affect the ability of Australian farmers to be competitive in export markets particularly with the strong Australian dollar. 

Productivity improvements are essential for Australian agriculture as input costs always rise faster than the prices farmers receive for their output.  The response of one city based Fairfax columnist to this decline in productivity was that the blow torch should be applied to the sector by both Federal and State Governments.  Rationalisation in the sector should be accelerated in the author’s opinion so that productivity can be enhanced by those producers that remain capturing economies of scale.  Drought relief would be done away with so that only the most efficient producers survive any dry period. 

What the author seems to forget is that the industry has had a blow torch of extreme ferocity applied to it over the past five or so years.  All farmers have suffered as a result of the stronger Australian dollar with most individual sectors having their own unique problems. 

Dairy farmers have had to battle milk discounting, horticulturalists with cheap imports, farmers in the Murray Darling Basin have the prospect of major water reform hanging over them.  In my own sector, the Federal Government has brought the industry to its knees through its ban on exports to Indonesia. 

The reality is that rationalisation has been occurring in the sector for about 100 years.  We do not need the Government making it any harder for primary producers than they are already doing.  Rationalisation will continue to occur at a steady pace.  This allows those exiting the industry to do so with dignity and allows service industries around the sector to adjust also. 

The author also fails note the huge assistance paid to farmers in other countries who compete with Australian agricultural exports in international markets.  In addition to this, large subsidies are paid to other sectors of the economy such as the automotive industry.  Other sectors are the beneficiary of Government regulations such as the financial services sector which benefits from the mandated contribution to superannuation for all Australians. 

So what can be done to reverse the productivity decline?  Some are noted in the Fairfax article including encouraging foreign investment and recommitting to public investment in agricultural research.  Some other key areas are missed including easing the regulatory burden place on farm businesses and reducing the level of sovereign risk faced by the sector.  

The Amazing Dung Beetle

One of the great advantages of living in the middle of nowhere is that you can marvel at the wonders of nature.  There is nothing like seeing a big red kangaroo skip away against the backdrop of a Kimberley thunderstorm. 

It is not just majestic creatures like kangaroos that capture my attention, the humble dung beetle is also an incredible animal in its own way.  Consider how the dung beetle goes to work on the pile of dung shown in the photo below, in this case from a horse. 

In only a few short hours it is converted into basically a powder as shown in the photo below.  This makes life a lot more pleasant for everyone and every animal in their surroundings, importantly reducing the breeding ground for flies in addition to the aesthetic benefits. 

It seems there is a lot more to the dung beetle than meets the eye.  Dung beetles are one of the few animals that use the stars to navigate.  Included in this exclusive club with dung beetles are some birds, seals and humans.  As reported in a recent edition of The Economist, it seems that dung beetles navigate by being able to identify the cluster of stars that forms the Milk Way. 

Further Reading

Stars in their eyes.  How dung beetles navigate.  The Economist, January 26^th – February 1^st 2013, p67. 

  

Hilmer Report 20 Years On

It seems that 20 year anniversaries are often widely celebrated.  One 20 year anniversary this year which will probably not receive much attention this year is the Hilmer report into competition policy in Australia. 

The Hilmer report had the agricultural sector firmly in its sights and in particular statutory marketing authorities.  Since the release of the Hilmer report, most of the marketing arrangements viewed as anti-competitive have been removed.  The only on remaining to my knowledge is the regulation of potato marketing in Western Australia. 

While the reduction of regulation in industries such as dairy and eggs had commenced before the release of the Hilmer report, competition policy increased the momentum for change.  For a number of producers in these industries, the move to deregulation was extremely difficult with large numbers exiting these industries in the years that followed it. 

Reduction in regulation in other agricultural industries has also occurred for other reasons.  An example is the removal of the single desk marketing arrangements for wheat marketing which occurred after the Iraq wheat scandal. 

In other sectors of the economy, competition policy has produced mixed results.  There have been a number of success stories, an example being the telecommunications sector where increased competition has benefited consumers. 

A number of other industries have emerged virtually unchanged despite the blow torch being applied in the Hilmer report and in subsequent inquiries.  It remains a mystery why Governments around Australia can find the political courage to deregulate agricultural industries but refuse to take action on industries such as taxis and pharmacies. 

In some industries competition has lessened with the obvious being supermarkets where the two players dominate.  A key component of the Hilmer reforms were changes to the Trade Practices Act and the creation of the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission in part to address anti-competitive practices.  Despite these changes we have a situation where Woolworths and Coles continue to increase their market share.  While it could be argued that consumers have benefited from lower prices, the longer term benefits are less certain.  The increase in home brands by the major supermarket brands will ultimately lessen competition. 

The provision of cheap milk may benefit consumers in the short term, but the longer term effects are less certain.  It could result in less fresh milk being available to consumers as farmers exit the industry and greater reliance on UHT milk. 

The changes introduced from the Hilmer report are essentially irreversible.  It would be very difficult if not impossible to reintroduce statutory marketing authorities that previously existed.  What should happen now is that competition should be extended to other areas of the economy.  

Opportunities in Asia

The recent Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) conference in Canberra highlighted some of the difficulties that Australian producers will have in capturing opportunities in Asia.  The forum noted that Australian farmers face a range of challenges in the next few years including a high Australian dollar and increased competition from countries in South America and Eastern Europe. 

The analysis was in sharp contrast to the much of the commentary over the past few years with focus being on an impending food crisis and what a struggle it will be to feed a world population of nine billion people by 2050.  There have been various predictions of huge increases in food prices as demand soars in Asia with limited additional land available to meet the demand for more food. 

Instead of forecasting soaring food prices, ABARES are predicting a much more modest increase in prices out to 2050.  In fact, the medium term price outlook is subdued despite the increased demand from Asia. 

The ABARES analysis confirms what most producers, who are generally sceptical by nature, have believed for a long time.  That is that there will be no “free kicks” from increased demand in the Asian region.  Any opportunities that arise from growing populations and incomes in Asia will require hard work on the part of Australian producers and marketers.

Productivity improvements will underpin the ability of Australian producers to capture opportunities that arise in coming years.  Improvements in productivity are the way that farmers have coped in the past with falls in output prices and rising input costs and will no doubt continue to be in the future. 

The Government must play its role in encouraging productivity improvements.  A key area is in fostering investment in the sector by creating a healthy investment environment which addresses sovereign risk issues. 

The Government must also play its role by ending subsidies to unproductive industries, improving trade relationships with our Asian neighbours and improving infrastructure.  Other important areas for Government are ongoing investment in research and development and reducing the regulatory burden placed on business. 

Australian farmers have proved themselves to be innovative in the past and can meet the challenges that the Asian century will bring.  The Government changes required to meet these challenges are not onerous and will likely benefit the wider economy in addition to the agricultural sector. 

Tropical Cyclone Rusty Aftermath

It has been a busy few weeks on the Plains with the passing of Tropical Cyclone Rusty.  There was plenty of activity in the lead up to the cyclone with all the preparations for its arrival.  In the aftermath of the cyclone there was plenty of cleaning up to do. 

Cyclones are a unique animal for many producers in Northern Australia.  The rainfall they bring is nearly always welcomed and in some cases is desperately needed.  However, they are often feared for the destruction they can wreak. 

 

After following his progress for over a week, Tropical Cyclone Rusty left us with no real damage and plenty of rain.  In the five days before Rusty arrived and after he left we had around 275mm of rain which is approximately 65% of our annual average rainfall.  There were plenty of branches off trees around the homestead but apart from that no damage that we have found yet. 

It was a different story only a few hundred kilometres away from us where the cyclone crossed the coast.  Here the cyclone left a trail of destruction around the homestead and around the rest of the property. 

Reminders of Tropical Cyclone Rusty will be with us for a while yet.  As you can see in this photo the water that landed on the property will take a long time to subside.